Tuesday, September 12, 2006

Primary Day post

After voting this morning, I saw Rich Tarrant on Main Street in Stowe on my way into work. He had his signature yellow and red "Tarrant/ Senate" sign hoisted in the air, behind the backdrop of the Akeley Memorial Building.

Yep, it's Primary Day all right. But I must admit — I was a bit dumbfounded to see candidate Tarrant vying for last-minute votes in Stowe.

Afterall, surely candidate Tarrant knows that only 215 — or 5.9 percent — of Stowe’s 3,599 registered voters cast ballots in last year's primary election. Now, you might suppose generously that an even 10 percent will vote by the end today. That leaves you with 360 voters, of which perhaps half will vote in the Republican primary. OK, that leaves you with 180 voters to pursuade. If we guess that about 60,000 people in Vermont will vote in today's election, of which perhaps half voting Republican, that means Stowe's Republican primary voters represent about .006 percent of the people he needs to vote for him. Unless my math is off, Stowe Republican primary voters would appear to represent not quite one-tenth of 1 percent of people Tarrant wants to vote for him.

Plus, Stowe's historically been a stronghold for moderate Republicans — a label Tarrant's been pretty adamant about in his own campaign.

Hey, I guess Stowe's as good a place as any to start Tuesday morning.And every vote does count, as any town-meeting veteran will tell you. Until the numbers come out tomorrow...

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